The most dramatic Presidential election in US history has thrown up Donald Trump as the winner. Survived two assassination attempts, convicted of felony, the two times impeached US President – a record only him can boast of in the history of US federal office, waved all bullets fired at him like a superhuman. His election victory has been described by many as one of the biggest political comebacks in history.
What is behind Trump’s Invincibility? His real driving force is a core fan base of fanatical and cult followers. To them his wrongs are perfect and his rights are absolute and divine. In spaces created by cracks – religion, race, nationality, gender are where Donald Trump’s real powers are hidden.
His words sink so deep and far in the minds of his audience. No finese of words needed, no diplomatic charade. Just say it the way it is or more crude.
Uncharacteristic and alien as his style to US politics, his consistency made that brand of politics his own. Interestingly, his brand started taking position as genuine and true, devoid of traditional political lies, deceit and sugarcoating. And proponents of free speech found a high profile champion, triggering argument on limits of free speech and its links with hate speech.
Trump’s presidency shall be meeting an Europe totally different from the one he faced in his first term. Current political climate of Europe is pro far right, allies who share his ideology especially on migration are growing exponentially and ready for such a huge rallying figure to assume power on their behalf.
But European Leaders are not much concerned about ideological shift as they are with security threats. Allied security organization: NATO suffered under Trump’s first term. The President at a point threatened to pull US out of NATO. That was really terrying moment. What does Trump’s second coming mean to European security? Under Joe Biden, NATO strengthened with two additional members, stability and trust also rebuilt. Will Trump revert to type in this case especially in the face of raging war in Ukraine?
The president whom has shown less interest in war is widely expected to freeze the Ukraine conflict. But at what cost? Would renaming Dombas Putingrad be enough legacy for the man who sees himself as modern St Peter – Tsar Peter the Great: founder of St Petersburg? What are the consequences for European security and balance of power? When Europe sneezes, the rest of the continents catches cold.
Asia is likely to remain an economic battle ground for new Trump administration with relationship with China a continuation of his first term policies. The rhetoric of bringing back jobs from China shall not be that easy because American factories willing to leave China may not be willing to head home. Hence, China’s losses shall only be gains to Vietnam, Singapore, Malaysia and other Asian countries with lower cost of production.
Relationship with Iran will remain sour, all out war even more likely than ever, leaving the Middle East at edge of their seats for a long time to come.
Despite controversial remarks against African country in his first term and cozy relationship with White Supremacist groups, Trump remains popular among African Christians who align with his views on Christian conservatism, gender, family values and pro life. In an exaggerated expectation, some Africans believe as “God fearing” man, he will help them to undo past injustice and oppression.
US core foreign policies rarely change irrespective of who’s the President or his personal ideology. Africom is not leaving Africa soon, neither its activities becoming more or less benevolent on that account. At the end, it is all about America’s interest – an ambiguous phrase that covers wide range of activities on America’s behalf.
As the world is set to become more unstable, Trump’s touted peaceful approach may not be enough to keep US out of conflict. And if Trump adopts his previous stand that the US should not be in anyway getting involved in conflicts “thousands of miles away” US risks losing ground on global influence. If a country can do without US why does it need US?
Wrongly, some people think decreasing western influence will guarantee relative global peace. It is actually the opposite – a precipice of chaos, as regional powers clash to fill up the vacuum created by decreasing western influence.
No matter what happens, instability will remain rife for decades to come.
Authored by EoR
(SUNBURST unveils the cryptic contemplations of EoR).
2 Responses
What some call safe haven might actually be a bed rock of chaos. Let’s see how things unfold.
No where will be safe.